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Nearly every musician has an embarrassing past. It's very rare for anybody to be in a good high school band, and most musicians have been in bands that they would rather not have anybody talk about. Sadly, with the advent of the Internet, your crappy high school band will not get lost in the dustbins of history. Like Pantera, Alice in Chains also had a glam rock past. Prior to his mega successful career as a gloom and doom hard rock/grunge front man, the late Layne “Candy” Staley sang in a Shorewood High School band called Sleze. Sleze eventually morphed into Alice 'N Chainz and recorded a demo before Layne joined up with Jerry Cantrell and his glam band, Diamond Lie, around 1987. Diamond Lie would soon change their name to Alice in Chains, ditch their glam rock image, hook up with Soundgarden’s management, and eventually become one of the first Seattle "Alternative Metal" bands to sign to a major label.

Alice 'N Chainz originally formed sometime in the early eighties with Layne on vocals, Nick Pollock on guitar, Johnny Bacolas on bass, and James Bergstrom on drums. In 1986, they went to the famed London Bridge Studios and recorded their first 3-song demo tape. Produced by Timothy Branom and engineered by former Enemy drummer, Peter Barnes (check them out on Killed By 7" 1-5 or Screaming Fists vol 2), the demo features a guest horn section, took them several months to finish, and cost them around $1600. While it's rarely discussed nowadays in the post-grunge and modern day indie rock age, Seattle actually had a pretty large hard rock/metal scene in the 1980s. Metal Church, Queensryche, TKO, and Rail were the big local bands, and bands like Mistrust, Heir Apparent, Myth, Overlord, and Fifth Angel were supposed to be the Next Big Things. Alice N Chainz should then be placed in this hard rock/metal context and not in the post-punk or grunge one, and obviously, their demo sounds nothing like their later recordings.

After Layne joined Diamond Lie, former guitarist Nick Pollock started My Sister's Machine with ex-members of Mistrust and released a few records, followed by Tanks of Zen and, more recently, Soulbender. Johnny Bacolas and James Bergstrom would go to form Second Coming, who still gig and record regularly.

And according to the demo’s thank you notes, if you are “Blonde, Tan, Tastey [sic], And Tight,” the boyz in the band love you lots.

Oh yeah, “Over the Edge” is not the Wipers’ song.
PR
In general relativity, an event horizon is a boundary in spacetime, an area surrounding a black hole, inside which events cannot affect an outside observer. Light emitted from inside the horizon can never reach the observer, and anything that passes through the horizon from the observer's side appears to freeze in place, with its image becoming more redshifted as time proceeds.

More specific types of horizon include the related but distinct absolute and apparent horizons found around a black hole. Still other distinct notions include the Cauchy and Killing horizon; the photon spheres and ergospheres of the Reissner-Nordström solution; particle and cosmological horizons relevant to cosmology; and isolated and dynamical horizons important in current black hole research.


In probability theory, Bayes' theorem (often called Bayes' law after Thomas Bayes) relates the conditional and marginal probabilities of two random events. It is often used to compute posterior probabilities given observations. For example, a patient may be observed to have certain symptoms. Bayes' theorem can be used to compute the probability that a proposed diagnosis is correct, given that observation. (See example 2)

As a formal theorem, Bayes' theorem is valid in all common interpretations of probability. However, it plays a central role in the debate around the foundations of statistics: frequentist and Bayesian interpretations disagree about the ways in which probabilities should be assigned in applications. Frequentists assign probabilities to random events according to their frequencies of occurrence or to subsets of populations as proportions of the whole, while Bayesians describe probabilities in terms of beliefs and degrees of uncertainty. The articles on Bayesian probability and frequentist probability discuss these debates in greater detail.
Contents
[hide]

* 1 Statement of Bayes' theorem
* 2 An example
* 3 Bayes' theorem in terms of likelihood
* 4 Derivation from conditional probabilities
* 5 Alternative forms of Bayes' theorem
o 5.1 Bayes' theorem in terms of odds and likelihood ratio
o 5.2 Bayes' theorem for probability densities
o 5.3 Abstract Bayes' theorem
o 5.4 Extensions of Bayes' theorem
* 6 Further examples
o 6.1 Example 1: Drug testing
o 6.2 Example 2: Bayesian inference
o 6.3 Example 3: The Monty Hall problem
* 7 Historical remarks
* 8 See also
* 9 References
o 9.1 Versions of the essay
o 9.2 Commentaries
o 9.3 Additional material

[edit] Statement of Bayes' theorem

Bayes' theorem relates the conditional and marginal probabilities of events A and B, where B has a non-vanishing probability:

P(A|B) = \frac{P(B | A)\, P(A)}{P(B)}.

Each term in Bayes' theorem has a conventional name:

* P(A) is the prior probability or marginal probability of A. It is "prior" in the sense that it does not take into account any information about B.
* P(A|B) is the conditional probability of A, given B. It is also called the posterior probability because it is derived from or depends upon the specified value of B.
* P(B|A) is the conditional probability of B given A.
* P(B) is the prior or marginal probability of B, and acts as a normalizing constant.

Intuitively, Bayes' theorem in this form describes the way in which one's beliefs about observing 'A' are updated by having observed 'B'.

[edit] An example

Suppose there is a co-ed school having 60% boys and 40% girls as students. The girl students wear trousers or skirts in equal numbers; the boys all wear trousers. An observer sees a (random) student from a distance; all they can see is that this student is wearing trousers. What is the probability this student is a girl?

It is clear that the probability is less than 40%, but by how much? Is it half that, since only half the girls are wearing trousers? The correct answer can be computed using Bayes' theorem.

The event A is that the student observed is a girl, and the event B is that the student observed is wearing trousers. To compute P(A|B), we first need to know:

* P(A), or the probability that the student is a girl regardless of any other information. Since the observers sees a random student, meaning that all students have the same probability of being observed, and the fraction of girls among the students is 40%, this probability equals 0.4.
* P(A'), or the probability that the student is a boy regardless of any other information (A' is the complementary event to A). This is 60%, or 0.6.
* P(B|A), or the probability of the student wearing trousers given that the student is a girl. As they are as likely to wear skirts as trousers, this is 0.5.
* P(B|A'), or the probability of the student wearing trousers given that the student is a boy. This is given as 1.
* P(B), or the probability of a (randomly selected) student wearing trousers regardless of any other information. Since P(B) = P(B|A)P(A) + P(B|A')P(A'), this is 0.5×0.4 + 1×0.6 = 0.8.

Given all this information, the probability of the observer having spotted a girl given that the observed student is wearing trousers can be computed by substituting these values in the formula:

P(A|B) = \frac{P(B|A) P(A)}{P(B)} = \frac{0.5 \times 0.4}{0.8} = 0.25.

As expected, it is less than 40%, but more than half that.

Another, essentially equivalent way of obtaining the same result is as follows. Assume, for concreteness, that there are 100 students, 60 boys and 40 girls. Among these, 60 boys and 20 girls wear trousers. All together there are 80 trouser-wearers, of which 20 are girls. Therefore the chance that a random trouser-wearer is a girl equals 20/80 = 0.25.

It is often helpful when calculating conditional probabilities to create a simple table containing the number of occurrences of each outcome, or the relative frequencies of each outcome, for each of the independent variables. The table below illustrates the use of this method for the above girl-or-boy example
Girls Boys Total
Ergo Phizmiz

Composer, Artist, Writer, DJ, Collagist
Friday, 2 January 2009
Diddly-Dee-Diddly-Da, as Reginald Gardner once intoned .....
Many interesting and lovely things happening this year.....

Coming soon there'll be the new album "Things to Do and Make" on Care in the Community Recordings, preceded by a single "Food and War" featuring B-side cover by R. Stevie Moore. A tour is planned to accompany the album release. The new LP showcases Ergo's songwriting through two solid sides of eccentric pop goodness, and will also be accompanied by an online version of the complete sessions for the album, with more than two hours of extra material not included on the album.

Collaborations are on the cards with Klimperei, David Fenech, R. Stevie Moore, Jack Phoenix, Margite Zalite, The Travelling Mongoose, Thomas Hicks, and Buchinger's Boot Marionettes. These collaborations will run across radio, albums, workshops, television, soundtracks, and theatre.

Towards the end of the year we'll see the podcast of Ergo's radiouberwork "The Faust Cycle" - a ten part radio adventure that has taken up the best part of the last two years. This podcast will also be followed by an installation and an album release of music from the series on Soleilmoon. Alongside Ergo taking part in various ways in this radiophonic extravaganza are Jack Phoenix, Margite Zalite, Felix Kubin, Irene Moon, Pete Um, Matt Johnson, Zenith Pitts, Martha Moopette, Mystoffeles Valentine, and Angela Valid. Coinciding in 2009 with this will be the launch of Ergo Phizmiz's (almost) complete radio works from 1999-2009 in high-quality mp3 at the ever marvellous Ubuweb.

Also keep an eye out for the release on Cataclyst Records of "Chronicles of the Suspicious Gentlemen" in the later part of the year, and a new commission for BBC Radio 3 about the painter Paul Klee and his relationship with music. Ergo is also currently working on a number of projects in broadcast media for children.

On the live front, also keep an eye out for live shows in collaboration with People Like Us. The best place to keep up to date with live shows is at www.myspace.com/ergophizmiz .

So, busy times afoot, and full steam ahead ..... happy new year ....
Posted by Ergo Phizmiz at 08:52 0 comments
Labels: ergo phizmiz, eskimo, faust, new year, radio, slabberdash, what-not

Un Nuit Dystopia / Hommage Michel Foucault
A new mp3 compilation features a brand spanking new Ergo Phizmiz track "Mystery of Hadness". The album, entitled "Un Nuit Dystopia" also contains composition from Ryuta K, Henry Gwiazda, Sara Ayers, Kol Sonzgln, Bunk Data, and Makryham.

You can download the entire thing for free here.
Posted by Ergo Phizmiz at 08:41 0 comments
Labels: ergo phizmiz, michel foucault, ryuta k, sara ayers
usyukuro label tokyo-chiba besed indie label usyukuro since 2001 artists such as ovdk,take.f,kol sonzlgn slavoj,M2&r,overdose kunst,horya.t,Ryuta.k,etc sometimes release post sampling kinetic nonlenear nonequrbrium forthworld muziq this muziq genre is fishy name Please take it easy listen We are interested in deconstruction but we like muziq really!!!
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